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In one minute: By January 2026 the main signals were already on the table: cheap oil that could reverse, a stalled easing cycle, and health systems losing funders. Brent rose from about $61 at the start of the year to $118 by the end of March, and Kenyan...
Mr. Derrick Macharia
October 16, 2026 · Business
Business
In one minute: By January 2026 the main signals were already on the table: cheap oil that could reverse, a stalled easing cycle, and health systems losing funders. Brent rose from about $61 at the start of the year to $118 by the end of March, and Kenyan...
Mr. Derrick Macharia
October 16, 2026 · 5 min read
Business
In one minute: A story only becomes useful when it turns into a probability that someone can check later. Mid-October's signals point the same way: energy-led inflation, high long-term yields, and an Ebola outbreak that is slowing but not over. We regis...
Mr. Derrick Macharia
October 16, 2026 · 5 min read
Business
In one minute: The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on 16 September, its first hike since 2023, and the ECB raised its deposit rate to 2.50% on 10 September. Both moved while inflation was running hot. In Kenya the central bank held at 8.75%, b...
Mr. Derrick Macharia
October 16, 2026 · 5 min read
Business
In one minute: Anthropic's private valuation rose from $380bn to $965bn in 105 days, a factor of 2.54, and OpenAI's reported talks put it at about 1.64 times its March mark. The same few firms now sell to, guarantee and lease from one another, so a valua...
Mr. Derrick Macharia
October 16, 2026 · 5 min read
Healthcare
In one minute: By mid-July 2026, the WHO said 80% of new Ebola cases in eastern DRC came from transmission chains it could not trace. If only one case in five is already linked to a known contact, a contact list catches a small slice of the outbreak, and...
Mr. Derrick Macharia
October 16, 2026 · 5 min read
Geopolitics
In one minute: A time-limited deal is a clock. What matters is the chance the clock runs out into renewed closure. Turning an annual risk into a 60-day risk takes two lines: λ = −ln(1 − p), then P = 1 − e^(−λt). An annual 30% becomes about 5.7% over 60 d...
Mr. Derrick Macharia
October 16, 2026 · 5 min read
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